The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)


The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is a common stock listing on the NASDAQ exchange under the ticker CAKE. The company operates and licenses restaurants across the United States and Canada, and it also runs bakeries that make cheesecakes and other baked goods. These bakery products are supplied to the company’s restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. Its restaurant portfolio includes The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. Founded in 1972, the company is headquartered in Calabasas, California.


Jump between the core stock analysis sections, valuation data, fair value models, technical outlook, and FAQ.

Data update note: Fair value and stock analysis metrics are updated after regular market sessions when new data becomes available.
Ticker Fair Value Fair Value Upside/Downside Fair Value Rating Analyst Price Target Analyst Target Upside/Downside Analyst Target Rating Overall Financial Health Upcoming Dividend Ex-Date Dividend Payment Date Upcoming Dividend Dividend Yield Next Earnings Date P/E Ratio Price-to-Book Ratio Price-to-Sales Ratio Market Cap Enterprise Value Total Debt / Total Capital Free Float / Shares Outstanding Altman Z-Score Payout Ratio Free Cash Flow / Net Income
NASDAQ-CAKE
$59.64
-30.8% Downside
Overvalued
$69.53
-19.4% Downside
Overvalued
Good
1.2
1.4%
July 28, 2026
26.0x
9.4x
1.1x
4.278 B
6.2 B
33.4%
91.9%
2.9
32.7%
104.4%
Valuation • Fair Value

The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) Fair Value by Valuation Model

Compare the primary fair value estimate for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) with model-based valuation references such as DCF, Ben Graham, DDM, EPV and comparable-company valuation.

Primary Valuation Read

Fair Value

$59.64

Estimated downside of 30.8% versus the current market price.

Fair Value Confidence

Med

Confidence level for the primary fair value estimate.

DCF Fair Value

$52.57

Discounted cash flow valuation reference.

Ben Graham Formula Value

$36.86

Classic Ben Graham valuation formula reference.

DDM Fair Value

$62.71

Dividend discount model valuation reference.

EPV Fair Value

NM

Earnings power value estimate.

Comps Fair Value

$65.69

Comparable-company valuation reference.

Analyst Price Target

$69.53

Analysts imply downside of 19.4%.

How to read these valuation models

Use this section to compare the primary fair value estimate for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) with several model-based valuation references. Different models can produce different outputs because each method relies on a different set of assumptions, so the primary fair value estimate should be read alongside the model spread rather than in isolation.

Profitability • Growth

Profitability & Growth for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE)

A compact read on revenue, forward revenue expectations, EBITDA and operating profitability trends.

Revenue

3.803 B

Current operating scale indicator.

Revenue Forecast

3.924 B

Forward revenue estimate.

EBITDA

338.8 M

Current operating profitability reference.

EBITDA Forecast

345.7 M

Forward operating profitability estimate.

How to read profitability and growth

This section helps investors review The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) from an operating perspective by combining current scale, forward revenue expectations and EBITDA-related profitability measures.

Quality • Risk

Quality & Financial Risk for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE)

Review financial health, earnings quality and balance-sheet risk through Piotroski, Beneish, Altman and cash conversion metrics.

Financial Health

Good

Positive financial-health read.

Piotroski Score

7

Relatively strong quality score.

Beneish M-Score

-2.78

No elevated caution signal from this screen.

Altman Z-Score

2.9

Intermediate risk zone.

FCF / Net Income

104.4%

Cash conversion quality indicator.

How to read quality and risk

This section combines quality, balance-sheet and accounting-risk indicators for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE). Read the metrics together: no single score is a complete investment conclusion, but the combined view can highlight financial strength, earnings quality and areas that may deserve closer review.

Events • Dividends

Upcoming Events & Dividends for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE)

Track the next earnings date, ex-dividend date, dividend payment date, dividend yield and upcoming distribution details where available.

Next Earnings Date

July 28, 2026

Days to Earnings

7

Dividend Payment Date

Not available

Ex-Dividend Date

Not available

Dividend Yield

1.4%

Income yield reference.

Upcoming Dividend

1.2

Upcoming distribution amount.

Payment Type

Not available

Data is currently unavailable.

Dividend Currency

USD

Currency used for the distribution.

Payout Ratio

32.7%

Dividend payout reference.

How to read events and dividends

This section helps investors track time-sensitive items for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE), including the next earnings date and dividend-related milestones. These items can matter for short-term volatility, income planning and event-driven positioning.

Stock Forecast • Technical Outlook

The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) Stock Forecast & Technical Outlook

Review The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) across multiple technical time frames, alongside analyst recommendation data, to form a faster read on market positioning and near-term sentiment.

Technical Signals by Time Frame

Switch between time frames to review the current technical signal for the stock.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: 15-minute • intraday
Strong Buy

The 15-minute technical read for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is currently Strong Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: 1-hour • short-term
Strong Buy

The 1-hour technical read for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is currently Strong Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: daily • daily
Strong Buy

The daily technical read for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is currently Strong Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: weekly • weekly
Strong Buy

The weekly technical read for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is currently Strong Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: monthly • monthly
Strong Buy

The monthly technical read for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is currently Strong Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Analyst Consensus for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE)

A consolidated view of buy, hold and sell recommendations based on the currently available analyst data.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Consolidated analyst recommendation mix
Hold

Based on the available recommendation mix, The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) has a Hold consensus, with 6 buy, 11 hold and 2 sell recommendations in the current data set.

Buy 6
Hold 11
Sell 2
FAQ Fast Investor Answers

The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) Stock FAQ

Quick answers about The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) stock, including fair value, valuation rating, analyst price target, dividends, earnings dates, market capitalization, financial health and other key stock analysis metrics.

Fair Value
$59.64
Estimated downside 30.8%
Valuation Rating
Overvalued
Estimated downside of 30.8%
Analyst Target
$69.53
Implied downside 19.4%
Financial Health
Good
Current financial-health read

The current fair value estimate for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is $59.64. This implies an estimated downside of 30.8% versus the current market price.

Based on the current fair value estimate, the stock appears overvalued, with estimated downside of 30.8% versus the current market price.

The available analyst price target for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is $69.53. The analyst target implies estimated downside of 19.4%.

The current financial health read for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is Good. This should be reviewed alongside valuation, profitability, debt and cash-flow quality metrics.

The next earnings date currently listed for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is July 28, 2026.

Based on the current data, dividend yield is 1.4%, upcoming dividend amount is 1.2.

The current P/E ratio listed for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is 26.0x. Use it together with growth, margins and sector comparisons rather than as a standalone valuation signal.

The current market capitalization listed for The Cheesecake Factory is 4.278 B.

The current enterprise value listed for The Cheesecake Factory is 6.2 B. Enterprise value can provide a broader valuation view than market capitalization alone because it also considers net debt.

The ticker symbol for The Cheesecake Factory is NASDAQ-CAKE, and the stock is listed on NASDAQ.

The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is listed on NASDAQ.

The current debt-to-total-capital ratio listed for The Cheesecake Factory is 33.4%, which helps investors evaluate the company’s financing structure and leverage profile.

The free float listed for The Cheesecake Factory is 91.9%. Free float helps investors understand how much of the share base is available for public trading.